Friday February 27th Trade Plan and Levels

Morning Guys,

Today we will be using 09.25-11.25 as out bull bear zone. Above here ES can go back to test the highs around 17.25-19.25. Shorts can work from here on a good intraday setup even with the bullish nature of the market currently. Above here we have 25-27 resistance which is a good place to scale out of any longs, If ES breaks above 19.25 then we could see a directional move for ES and with no real resistance shorts are not a great option.

Below the Bull Bear zone we have support at 98.75-00.75 where we would need to see a good intraday setup due to this area being tested already. Below this we have 92.50-94.50 where id expect buyers on first test and then below this we have 81-83.



Thanks and Happy Trading.

Thursdays Trade Recap

Morning,

Yesterday we had 10.25-12.25 as out bull bear zone, the trade plan said that a hold below here could bring the 08-06 and 00.50-98.50 zones into play. Off the open ES failed to show any upwards momentum and so  a short off the first test of the bull bear zone would have been valid as TICK was failing to get any real positive readings. This short should have been targeting scales at 06-08, 03s( yesterdays imbalance repair, and the finally the 00.50 zone which we did not reach on the day time frame.

ES then retested the BB later in the day for another potential short as we again saw no swing in momentum to the upside internally after taking out the then high of the day. Targets for this would have again been the same as previously.

ES fell just short of the 00.50 zone which would have been a long on first test if it had reached it as downside exhaustion occurred internally. However we must only use the internals as a confirmation at good trade location.

Look out for news today on the premium service launching.

Thanks.

Thursday February 26th Trade Plan and Levels

Morning guys,

Today we will be using 10.25-12.25 as our bull bear area. ES needs to hold above here to test 19-21 resistance, ES can see selling here on weak internals but we must assess this in real time. a break above here could see ES break out to 25-27. With no hard resistance at ATH we must be cautious at resistance above and judge it in real time.

Below todays bull bear area we have 06-08 support which has been tested multiple times. This could still provide good support on a perfect intraday setup but we need to assess this in real time as we could break out below to the 98.5-00.50 area, if holding below the BB area, where id expect to see buyers on first test. Below here we have 94.5-92.50 where id also expect to see buyers on first test.

Our Premium service will be available as of Monday so look out for more news on how to keep receiving these plans and recaps within the coming days.

Happy trading

Wednesdays Trade Recap

Evening all,

Today ES chopped around the Bull Bear area for the most part of the morning, however failed to really establish any momentum on the downside with a low of around -400 on the Tick. Therefore any breaks and retests of the bull bear to the upside in this bullish environment would be good opportunity's on exhaustion type internals.  This occurred with some Internal exhaustion for a long from 12.25 area. Balanced target as tweeted was 17.

The second opportunity came with a short from the flip of the bull bear zone. ES shifted momentum to the downside and pulled back to 10.25 for a short opportunity, targeting the 08-06 resistance and then the balanced target of 03s.  However due to the R2R on this trade i can understand if people skipped it due to the quick scale at 08 needed.

The final Trade opportunity today was the long from the 08-06 level. This level required a good intraday setup and with exhaustion shown on the internals and slight strength when  we reached this level a long could have been taken around 08 first targeting 10.25 and then 11s.

Hopefully some people managed to get some points today after the choppy start.

Our Premium service will be available as of Monday so look out for more news on how to keep receiving these plans and recaps within the coming days.

Thanks

Wednesday 25th February Levels and Trade Plan

Morning Guys,

Today we will be using 10.25-12.25 as our Bull Bear area, from here we will be able to identify a bias in the short term.  If ES can hold above here then this is very bullish and should go on to reach 19-21 and even 25-27 targets.

Below here we should test 06-08 where we would need a good setup to get long. Below here ES could liquidate down to 98.5-00.50 where id expect to see buyers on first test. Then we have 94. 25-92.25 which could cap selling on the day time frame.

Overall today I think we could see some two sided action if ES gets below 10.25. ES has no hard resistance at all time highs so resistance should be used as targets for longs, and only shorted on perfect setups when ES is showing Exhaustion and Weakness.

Our Premium service will be available as of Monday so look out for more news on how to keep receiving these plans and recaps within the coming days.

Thanks.

Tuesday Trade Recap

Morning,

Yesterdays trade plan called for caution shorting above the 02.25-03.50 Bull Bear and  above this area bulls were in control. With a potential 16-18 target for a bullish breakout.

There were two opportunity's to get long in yesterdays price action. The first was the dip down to 03.5-02.25 with the internals showing no real momentum shift on this down move and as the plan was to get long as long as this held, this exhaustion type move into the BB was a perfect long opportunity. As long as ES momentum held to the upside and the profile stayed imbalanced to the upside then the 16-18 target was on the cards.

Therefore another long on a pull back to res turned support was the ideal play. As long as price pulled back below the value on the day and into the new found support a long could have been executed around 07.25-07.00 targeting 16-18. We also got an exhaustion signal on the internals on this pullback.

As it was ES HOD was 15.75.

Our Premium service will be available as of Monday so look out for more news on how to keep receiving these plans and recaps within the coming days.

Thanks.

Tuesday February 24th Trade Plan and Levels

Morning guys,

Today we will be using 02.25-03.50 as our bull bear zone. Above here ES can go back to test the 06.50-08.50 resistance, however a short here at 06.50-08.50must be a perfect intraday setup as we are still in overall bullish context above. This is more of a good place to scale out of longs than to execute a short as a break above 08.50 would lead us to new highs and potentially 16-18 resistance. There is no hard resistance above 08.50 so shorts at resistance higher must only be taken if ES is showing extreme weakness and exhaustion.

Below the bull bear zone id expect ES to test the 00.50-98.50 zone, this has been tested multiple times now so a test of here must see a good intraday setup,Bulls must defend this to avoid a drop to 94.25-92.25 where id expect buying on first test. Below there ES could test 83-81 which could cap selling on the day time frame.

Today we have Yellen Testifying at 10.00am EST, so we could see a directional breakout around then.

News on the premium service will be on here this week and the service will include the in depth pre market trade plan and levels, plus a daily recap with an in depth look at the days action.

Thanks.

Monday February 23rd Trade Recap

Morning guys,

Yesterday's Plan stated that as long as ES stayed above the 99-01 zone that bulls would still be firmly in control and that we should be cautious on the short side.

On balance days like this the best idea is to get long below the value and trade into value and short/ or cover all your position above value.

ES provided us with two opportunity's to get long today at the 99-01 Bull Bear zone, Targeting the VPOC on the day and then the higher end of todays profile or the Gap Fill. Internally ES showed no real momentum either way, especially when we tested the bull bear zone with exhaustion type action internally on both tests of this area, meaning that longs could be executed on both tests.

Today was a case of identifying that the day was going to be one of balance by using the profile as your guide and then getting good trade location from the zone and taking profits quicker than if you were to anticipate a break out day.

News on the premium service will be on here this week and the service will include the in depth pre market trade plan and levels, plus a daily recap with an in depth look at the days action.

Thanks.

Monday 23rd Levels and Trade Plan

Morning all,

Today we will be using 99-01 as our Bull Bear Zone, If ES can hold above here then Bulls will be firmly in control and can continue the breakout to new all time highs and higher targets. We have 11.5-13.5, 17-18 and finally 25-27. All these resistance levels would need to see a perfect intraday setup to short as ES has no hard resistance up here and as we said, above the bull bear zone today es should see us continue to breakout.

If ES can get below 99-01 then we have support at 92.25-94.25 where id expect to see buying on first test. Below this we have 81-83 which could cap the selling if ES was to test down here.

Overall ES looks primed to continue its upwards momentum as long as we can hold above and we must be extremely cautious on the short side unless we see strong weakness at projected resistance areas.

Happy Trading.

Friday Recap

Hey guys,

Two Trade Opportunity's presented themselves on friday as per the trade plan.

The first was the initial short from the 92-94 bull bear zone off the open, when ES reached here we showed good internal exhaustion on a short time frame to execute a short position targeting the 82-84 area.

The second trade opportunity was the flush down to the 82-84 where we saw a lack of downside momentum here and ES seemed to be running out of steam internally so a long here could have been executed targeting the 92-94 Bull Bear zone.

Unfortunately ES did not pull back to the 94 area once it had broken it on the upside so unless you still had a runner on from 84 there was no real way of getting into the market for the bigger run from my point of view.

On the downside at resistance, ES was in full breakout mode on bullish internals with no lack of momentum and so no shorts were to be executed here as was said in the pre market plan.

I will in the near future be launching a Premium Service, which will include all the In depth Pre - Market Analysis, Levels and Trade Plan, PLUS in depth post market reviews along with other potential features which are in the pipeline. If you are interested in receiving any news on this upcoming service, please register your interest by Contacting Us on the right of the screen or by emailing me at Humboldttrade@gmail.com and i will get back to you with news on this when it comes about. Alternatively check out the blog regularly as i will post any new announcements on here.

This will be the last week of the free pre market trade plan and daily recap. A premium version will be available starting in March. This will include the in depth pre market levels and trade plan along with a In depth Recap, looking at the potential trades in the day and looking more at the Market internals analysis that we can look for during the day.

Thanks.

Friday 20th February Levels and Trade Plan

Morning,

Today we will be using 92-94 as our Bull Bear Zone, Below here ES should retest the low of this 5 day balance around 82-84. A long here would have to be judged in real time. Below here ES could Liquidate to 77.75-75.75 and lower to 67-65. A break of this 5 day balance could turn into a trend type scenaio either direction so we must be cautious going against this if ES looks like it may be breaking out.

Above the BB zone we have 02.25-04 and 06.75-07.75. The first of these could be a great short opportunity if ES attempts to break out and fails. Targeting back to value, however above this we must short with extreme caution as ES could reach, 11.5-13.5 on good internals.

So in conclusion today is all about judging what is going on early in the day, Are we breaking out on good internals? Have to got a failed breakout? or are we going to stay within balance.

I will in the near future be launching a Premium Service, which will include all the In depth Pre - Market Analysis, Levels and Trade Plan, PLUS in depth post market reviews along with other potential features which are in the pipeline. If you are interested in receiving any news on this upcoming service, please register your interest by Contacting Us on the right of the screen or by emailing me at Humboldttrade@gmail.com and i will get back to you with news on this when it comes about. Alternatively check out the blog regularly as i will post any new announcements on here.

Happy Trading

Thursday Trade Review

Evening,

3 potential trade setups today.

First one was a short off the open with the shorter term internal exhaustion , 1 scale at the 87.75 Shorter term BT, Targets here were also lower into support for more scales.

Second trade, was a first test of resistance into with a small internals exhaustion and also a BT up here at the time. However when ES held up and we had a vpoc shift, you should then be thinking about reducing risk by scaling out, moving stops to BE etc.

The final and best trade setup for the day was the retest of the BB zone at 92 with the, at the time, Low TICK of the day. In the bullish context and exhaustion type move price made to get to 92 a long setup could have been executed with targets of the days VPOC and then 95.50.

Hopefully you all traded well!


I will in the near future be launching a Premium Service, which will include all the In depth Pre - Market Analysis, Levels and Trade Plan, PLUS in depth post market reviews along with other potential features which are in the pipeline. If you are interested in receiving any news on this upcoming service, please register your interest by Contacting Us on the right of the screen or by emailing me at Humboldttrade@gmail.com and i will get back to you with news on this when it comes about. Alternatively check out the blog regularly as i will post any new announcements on here.

Happy Trading

Thursday 19th February Levels and Trade Plan

Morning Guys,

Today we will be using 90-92 as as Bull/Bear zone, If ES can hold above here we should retest the high of this balance area around 95.50-97.50. A break above here could signal a breakout scenario and ES would then be expected to get up to 02.25-04 and 06.75-07.75 targets. Where we would have to judge in real time if a short setup presents itself.

Below the bull bear zone today we have 82-84 where we could see buyers enter on first test. Below this we could liquidate quickly down to lower targets of 75.75-77.75 where id expect buying on first test. Finally we have 65 - 67 which could cap the selling of any breakout.

I will in the near future be launching a Premium Service, which will include all the In depth Pre - Market Analysis, Levels and Trade Plan, PLUS in depth post market reviews along with other potential features which are in the pipeline. If you are interested in receiving any news on this upcoming service, please register your interest by Contacting Us on the right of the screen or by emailing me at Humboldttrade@gmail.com and i will get back to you with news on this when it comes about. Alternatively check out the blog regularly as i will post any new announcements on here.

Happy Trading

Wednesday Trade Review (FOMC)

Evening guys,

Today's trade plan stated that above 88-90 bull were in control and that played out throughout the day, it also stated that we should expect two sided action which is what we got pre fomc.

4 Potential Trade setups on the day, First long at 90, was a first test of the Bull Bear zone and the internals were showing a short term strength against the intial down move. So a long targeting an initial balanced target of 94 could have been executed here. On the second test of the B/B zone the internals again we much stronger than the ES and another long at 90 could have been executed with a target of around 93 initially. Then finally ES had built value higher and pre fomc retested the bb zone with a nice exhaustion of the NYSE TICK so a third long could have been executed there we caution of the FOMC Announcment, Balanced target being 96.

The final potential setup today was the first test of the 95.50-97.50 zone which had confluence with the Balanced Target on the day and was a good short outside of value back into it at 92s.

I will in the near future be launching a Premium Service, which will include all the In depth Pre - Market Analysis, Levels and Trade Plan, PLUS in depth post market reviews along with other potential features which are in the pipeline. If you are interested in receiving any news on this upcoming service, please register your interest by emailing me at Humboldttrade@gmail.com and i will get back to you with news on this when it comes about. Alternatively check out the blog regularly as i will post any new announcements on here.

Thanks and Trade well.

Wednesday 18th Levels and Trade plan

Morning,

Today we will be using 88-90 as our Bull Bear zone, Above here Bulls are still in control and should retest 95.50-97.50 where we would need an intraday setup to short. ES found value at highs yesterday so a break of 97.50 would lead us into the 02.25-04 and 06.75-07.75 Resistance. Where we should look for signals intraday to short, as there is no hard resistance a blind short is not really an option we must have some confluence up there.

Bellow 88 ES should retest 85.50-83.50 where we would need to see a strong intraday setup to long as this is the 3rd test. A break below here would see us test 77.75-75.75 where id expect to see buyers on first test.

FOMC minutes are out later today so id expect some two sided action before these minutes are released.

Happy trading.

Tuesday Trade Review

Here is the recap from today's trading day.

This mornings trade plan stated that 'we will be using 83.50-85.50 as our bull bear zone and above here bulls are significantly in control' ES held above here all day and tested higher targets.

Today we opened below resistance and traded into 91 for a potential short back to gap fill.  This was a first test early on in the day and there was shorter time frame exhaustion on the internals. ES then found value higher and on twitter I said that ES had a balanced target of 94 and needed to hold the 88-89 zone. When ES dropped into here there was a potential intraday long targeting 94.

Es then tested 98.25 resistance which required internal exhaustion and so there was a short opportunity here, As ES built value here we had scale opportunity's at 95.25 and 93.75. As ES value was higher at the time and we had bullish context as we were above 85.50 when the ES broke down to yesterdays highs and we had a low $Tick of the day there was another long opportunity here.Targeting a scale at 96.25

Hope you find this recap helpful.

Thanks.

  

Tuesday Feb 17th Levels and Trade Plan.

Morning guys,

Today we will be using the 83.5-85.50 zone as out bull bear area. Above here bulls are significantly in control and a test of 91-93 is likely. Shorts from here will need to be assessed in real time. Above here we have resistance at 98.25-00.25 and then 11.50-13.50. As there is no hard resistance up here we will need to see how the ES looks in real time at these levels and may only use these as targets to scale if long.

Below 83.50 ES could get to 75.75-77.75 where id expect to see buyers on first test. Below here we have 65-67 where id also expect buyers on first test and 62.75 which could cap the selling ont he day time frame.

Happy Trading.

Monday 16th Feb Levels ( US Bank Holiday)

Morning guys,

Just some levels for today's trading, if you are doing so.

Happy Trading.

Week in review.

Here is last weeks trading review.

Monday.

On Monday we had the Bull Bear zone at 52.75-54.75. On the open ES did not retrace back to this level for a short. On the downside we had support at 39.50-38.50 and as the trade plan said we needed a good intraday setup there. At the time of reaching the zone ES had broke out of the intraday balance and looked like momentum had swung to the downside. So there was no Long trade here.
No trade opportunity's on the day.

Tuesday

On Tuesday ES opened at the 52.75-54.75 resistance. When ES opens within i zone i tend to look at a smaller time frame to judge if i can get in on the trade. ES didnt give me the opportunity on this occasion. However when we reached the 49.50-47.50 bull bear zone the internals were showing an exhaustion once ES had settled within the zone so there was a good trade opportunity long from around 48.50 with a target of going back to value around 51.50. Now there was no zone around gap fill on this occasion as a break below 47.50 could have seen downside momentum. However there was internal exhaustion down around the gap fill where a long could have been executed. Remember you have to be very open to changing your ideas on the market at key areas, The market is always giving us new information, this comes from the internals the daily profile and the previous action. So a long here around 44 would have been valid. The other trade opportunity on the day came from the automatic 65 zone short which gave good rotation late in the day and capped the intraday selling.

Wednesday

No zones were posted Wednesday as i was out of town. However 65-67 from the previous day would still have been a valid short with an intraday setup. ADSPD was severely lagging behind ES which would have been a good short entry at 65 targeting value. 52 would have been the automatic long zone but we did not get there.

Thursday

Again no zones on thursday.However i did manage to tweet the 85.50-87.50 level as being the upside target. This capped the upside and would have been a auto sell late in the day. Giving a few points rotation. The gap and go above 67 was a likely breakout but would have been difficult to execute on a day timeframe.

Friday

On Friday we Opened at resistance of 85.75-87.75 and needed a good shorter time frame setup here to short. That did not materialize. We then broke above this zone and retested it with a higher imbalance and a long could have been executed here with internals exhaustion targeting 91s.
ES then rallied most of the day after filling the gap and was capped by the 93.50-95.50 zone which would have been an auto long at any other time of day.

Thanks and happy trading.

Friday 13th February Levels and Trade Plan

Morning guys,

Today we will be using 76-78 as our bull bear zone, if ES can stay above this Bulls will be in firm control and new highs for RTH are likely. ES still has resistance at 85.50-87.50 but we would need a perfect intraday setup here to short with the bulls in control. Above here we have targets and resistance at 93.50-95.50, 01-03 and finally 11.5-13.50. To short at any of these we will need to assess ES in real time. They are good points to scale at if long.

If ES can get below the B/B then we have support at 95-97 where id expect to see buyers and then also at 51.25-49.25 where id also expect to see buying.

Hypo 1 is for ES to retest 78-76 on the open. A hold of this or a push above 87.5 would signal Bullish strength.

Happy Trading.

Tuesday 10th Levels and Trade Plan

Morning,

Today we have our B/B zone at 47.5-49.5. If ES can hold above here, we have resistance at 52.75-54.75 where we would need a good intraday setup. Above here we have 65-67 where id expect to see selling on first test.

Below the B/B zone today we have 33.5-35.5 where we could see buying on first test, and then 28-30. Under 28 ES could liquidate to 21.5-19.5 which could cap selling on the day.

Happy Trading.

Monday 9th February Levels and Trade Plan

Morning,

Today we will use 52.75-54.75 as the bull bear zone. Below this ES should test 38.5-39.50 where we would need a good intraday setup to go long here. We then have 33.75-35.75 where we should see buyers on first test and then 28-30 where again id expect buyers on first test. If ES gets below here we could see liquidation to 21. But we would have to judge that in real time.

Above the B/B zone today ES should continue on to 64.75-66.75 where id expect to see some sellers on 1st test. Above here Bulls would really be in control and 85.50-87.50 would be the final upside target.

Hypo one today would be for ES to test Support levels and then head back to b/b.

Thanks for the continued feedback and i will reply to all emails within this next week.

Thanks.

Week in Review.

So today im going to do a review of the week. Just going over the days in terms of the trades at the zones that were available pre market and how they were possible to trade intraday.


Monday
 So Monday our B/B zone was 97-99 and Below this we were looking for  82-80. ES opened at 95.75 and tested 97-99 within the first 5 minutes to give us a short opportunity. On the open i like to look at ES on a much shorter Time Frame to give me a read and the potential to get in with the internals confirmation. With regard to targets for trades I like to judge this based on the intraday profile alongside the previous days.
Next, We were looking at the 80-82 zone as being a potential breakout area with caution on the long side below it. Any Trades from this are on the long side would have needed a very good intraday setup as was said in the plan. I personally use a combination of market internals to judge if im going to trade at an already tested level and at the time of testing 82 on Monday the ES looked weak so there was for me no setup here on the long side.
The next untested zone we had on the way up was 02-04. Which due to the nature of the zone and where ES was coming from to get to that zone this was an automatic short area on 1st test, ES then reacted and retested in a short time giving internal confirmation on 2nd test which gave extra clarity to the trade.

Tuesday
Tuesday we opened at 25.25 and drove quickly up without testing the 21-23 B/B Zone, So i saw no real opportunity to get long here, On the upside we had resistance at 33.75-35.75, when we hit this resistance ES was a good short opportunity as it was a 1st test and also market internals were showing an exhaustion up here. Es then returned to the B/B area. On first test of this area ES had a buy signal but this wasnt a strong buy signal given the context and so a trade here may have been riskier than normal even with the rotation it gave, however on the second test of this zone ES looked like the shorts were running out of steam so i buy here with tight stops below the zone would have been a good entry.

Wednesday
Wednesday ES opened at 34.50 which was right in the bull bear area of 33.5-35.50 and drove up. However i did not see a great time to buy this early on day on a smaller time frame. When ES dropped a second time to the zone we had internals showing us an exhaustion so a buy here would have been a good setup with tight stops below the zone. The potential risk to reward at this point was heavily weighted in the favor of a buy with 46.25 being the optimal upside target pointed out pre market. When ES did reach 46.25-48.22 we had an automatic short here as it the first test of the zone in the RTH session and ES gave to the tick rotation here back into value. Given the daily profile context on the second test of this area i was inclined to think ES was going higher, however the greece news broke and ES got hammered back to 2030. Without this news i think the ES would have broken out above 48.25 and given the action in the Globex session that followed that news ES did go on to break higher.

Thursday
Thursday ES opened at 44.25 and drive higher towards 53-55. This was an automatic short on first test and gave a little rotation back into value around 49. With ES building Value within the zone for a long time, i looked to the internals as confirmation for a push back to value when in this trade. That gave me the confidence to stay in. However on a subsequent retest of this level moving away from value another short was not a good trade idea. So only the 1 trade idea from thursday,

Friday
Friday ES opened at 61 and tested 65.25-67.25 resistance. Which was an automatic short on first test, We then rotated to a key inflection point on the daily profile at 63.25 and continued upwards to 68 just outside the zone. Dependent on your trade management this could have been handled by scaling some around the key point at 63.25, moving your stop to BE here or just letting the trade run for bigger targets resulting in a potential tick out and drop. Personally i like to lock in some profit quickly at key areas and then add that back in on subsequent tests if the market allows with the internal confirmation. ES then reacted on first test of 54.25-52.25 and gave us a trade setup back to t tick to the RTH Vwap which is a good measure of value for a day where the Value in skewed to one side like friday but gets rejected.

Hope this recap was informative, any questions hit me up on here or by email. The feedback on the poll is currently fantastic and these are the sort of daily recaps that would be posted. Any other things you wish to have in the potential premium service just drop me a note.

Thanks again.

Thursday 5th february Levels.

Morning all,

Here are todays levels.

Does anyone still require the plan as i used to do or are the levels sufficient?

Levels for Wednesday feb 4th

Morning guys,

3rd of February levels.

Morning,

Had some technical issues this morning so here are the levels.

2nd February Levels and Trade Plan

Morning,

Today if we get to within 1 tick of the zone can we just do the decent thing and hand it off to Lynch please. Anyway onto trading.....

Today we will be using 97-99 as out bull bear zone. Above this ES Needs to break above 02-04 to potentially see upside targets of 21-23 where id expect to see selling on first test. If ES gets above here then we could see 33.75-35.75 which could cap buying on the day time frame.

Below the bull bear zone ES should test 80-82, If this breaks then ES could liquidate to 67-69 and then 56.75-58.75 and potentially even 49-51, if we break out and the internals are signally a trend type scenario. Any longs below 80-82 today should be judged in real time.

Happy Trading.